The flaw of averages : why we underestimate risk in the face of uncertainty / Sam L. Savage.
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By: Savage, Sam L
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Includes bibliographical references (p. 371-381) and index.
Foundations -- pt. 1. The big picture -- pt. 2. Five basic MINDIes for uncertainty -- pt. 3. Decisions and information -- Applications -- pt. 5. The flaw of averages in finance -- pt. 6. Real finance -- pt. 7. The flaw of averages in supply chains -- pt. 8. The flaw of averages and some hot button issues -- Probability management -- pt. Toward a cure for the flaw of averages.
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